Description

This analysis provides a forecast of VET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.008969 0.010111 0.011346 0.012780 0.014401 0.016178 0.018274
2026-01-18 0.007054 0.008601 0.010410 0.012685 0.015474 0.018786 0.023028
2026-01-25 0.005998 0.007720 0.009847 0.012675 0.016342 0.020951 0.027203
2026-02-01 0.005176 0.006960 0.009266 0.012471 0.016824 0.022554 0.030702
2026-02-08 0.004645 0.006488 0.008963 0.012541 0.017601 0.024533 0.034809
2026-02-15 0.004162 0.006014 0.008587 0.012437 0.018082 0.026100 0.038435
2026-02-22 0.003872 0.005770 0.008493 0.012699 0.019074 0.028435 0.043341
2026-03-01 0.003445 0.005280 0.007988 0.012295 0.019022 0.029204 0.045933
2026-03-08 0.003122 0.004912 0.007625 0.012059 0.019183 0.030277 0.049051
2026-03-15 0.002822 0.004551 0.007236 0.011739 0.019167 0.031049 0.051723
2026-03-22 0.002714 0.004484 0.007299 0.012139 0.020335 0.033793 0.057858
2026-03-29 0.002587 0.004370 0.007275 0.012389 0.021264 0.036204 0.063623
2026-04-05 0.002473 0.004274 0.007275 0.012686 0.022312 0.038928 0.070234
2026-04-12 0.002299 0.004061 0.007062 0.012596 0.022677 0.040501 0.074937
2026-04-19 0.002157 0.003889 0.006903 0.012586 0.023175 0.042338 0.080270
2026-04-26 0.001998 0.003675 0.006653 0.012383 0.023297 0.043490 0.084400
2026-05-03 0.001895 0.003552 0.006555 0.012453 0.023930 0.045631 0.090616
2026-05-10 0.001776 0.003392 0.006375 0.012350 0.024218 0.047133 0.095690
2026-05-17 0.001714 0.003335 0.006383 0.012610 0.025234 0.050121 0.104029
2026-05-24 0.001576 0.003119 0.006070 0.012209 0.024891 0.050379 0.106725
2026-05-31 0.001469 0.002956 0.005849 0.011975 0.024866 0.051270 0.110822
2026-06-07 0.001362 0.002784 0.005598 0.011656 0.024638 0.051719 0.113992
2026-06-14 0.001338 0.002782 0.005687 0.012054 0.025957 0.055520 0.124895